Having a strong opinion about an issue can make it hard to take in new information about it, or to consider other options when they’re presented. Thankfully, there’s an old rule that can help us avoid ...
What’s often misunderstood about Google’s incrementality testing and how Bayesian models use probability to guide better ...
In a world of uncertainty and shifting narratives, this post proposes a new model for investing: Bayesian edge investing. Unlike modern portfolio theory, which assumes equilibrium and perfect ...
Remember five games into the 2015-2016 NBA season? Reigning MVP Steph Curry has gone 52% from behind the arc while MVP runner-up James Harden is shooting a nice 16%. But even trolls on Twitter ...
Bayesian networks are powerful tools in probabilistic reasoning, allowing us to model complex systems where uncertainty and causal relationships intertwine. At their core, Bayesian Networks are ...
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