Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

The yield curve inverted in June 2022, and as we all know, the recession never came. When it flipped positive in 2024, ...

Bond investors are sticking with a popular wager that U.S. interest rates will fall further in 2026, keeping pressure on ...

This series is for investors who are keen to understand the nuts and bolts of an economy. Now, investors are constantly ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates exceed long-term rates, it is often seen as a harbinger of ...

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The financial markets are full of clues and queues for investors to consider when they are looking for the next path forward in their portfolios. Though some of these factors aren't as clear-cut as ...

The gap between two key plots on the Treasury yield curve was getting smaller on Thursday following a batch of mostly positive economic data. The policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury yield was trading ...

The 10-year Treasury yield eclipsed its 2-year counterpart on Thursday morning, putting the Treasury yield curve in positive territory once more on an intraday basis. Inversions of the yield curve ...